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WindFLOW: A Wind Foundation Model for Generative Temporal Super-Resolution

Research output: Contribution to conference › Paper

1 Scopus Citations

Abstract

Wind power plants are increasingly expected to provide grid services such as operating reserves, ramping support, and headroom-based dispatch, all of which depend critically on accurate wind variability at minute-level time scales. However, most available wind datasets and operational forecasts are limited to coarser resolutions, creating a fundamental data gap for grid service quantification. To address this challenge, this paper introduces a novel temporal wind super-resolution framework based on time series foundation models, named WindFLOW. We leverage the pretrained TimesFM Transformer with a three-layer fully-connected neural network head to downscale 5-minute wind speed into 1-minute sequences. The WindFLOW method is evaluated using over 58 million minutes of wind observations from seven wind sites. Results demonstrate that WindFLOW consistently outperforms state-of-the-art deep learning models and classical interpolation methods across all sites, with a 0.39 m/s average mean absolute error. The WindFLOW model achieves superior pointwise accuracy while uniquely preserving empirical distributions and high-frequency spectral energy. These findings indicate that time series foundation models can reliably reconstruct minute-scale wind dynamics from coarse inputs and enable scalable high-resolution wind data generation to enhance grid reliability through grid services.
Original languageAmerican English
Number of pages5
DOIs
StatePublished - 2026
EventThe 18th Annual IEEE Green Technologies (GreenTech) Conference - Boulder, CO
Duration: 25 Mar 2026 → 27 Mar 2026

Conference

ConferenceThe 18th Annual IEEE Green Technologies (GreenTech) Conference
CityBoulder, CO
Period25/03/26 → 27/03/26

NLR Publication Number

  • NLR/CP-5D00-98594

Keywords

  • downscaling
  • foundation model
  • generative AI
  • grid services
  • super-resolution

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