Skip to main navigation Skip to search Skip to main content

LAF-Net: A Deep Residual and Cross-Attention Framework for Day-Ahead Load Forecasting: Preprint

  • Midcontinent Independent System Operator

Research output: Contribution to conferencePaper

Abstract

Accurate day-ahead load forecasting is essential for reliable power system operations and market efficiency. System operators such as the Midcontinent Independent System Operator (MISO) rely on forecasts from multiple vendors, yet combining them effectively remains a persistent challenge due to vendor-specific biases. This paper presents a novel LSTM-Attention Fusion Network with Error Representation (LAF-Net) that enhances day-ahead hourly load forecasting through deep residual learning and multi-modal cross-attention. The proposed model builds a historical error memory from past vendor performance and dynamically queries it with future hour context to generate adaptive, hour-specific trust weights for each vendor. A bounded residual correction further refines forecasts by mitigating systematic and temporally localized errors. Tested on real MISO LBA data with multi-vendor forecasts, LAF-Net consistently outperforms the best vendor baseline across all 38 LBAs, achieving more than a 40% reduction in system-level mean absolute error (MAE) during peak load hours relative to the best vendor baseline.
Original languageAmerican English
Number of pages8
StatePublished - 2026
EventIEEE PES General Meeting - Montréal, Canada
Duration: 19 Jul 202623 Jul 2026

Conference

ConferenceIEEE PES General Meeting
CityMontréal, Canada
Period19/07/2623/07/26

NLR Publication Number

  • NLR/CP-5D00-97742

Keywords

  • attention mechanism
  • deep learning
  • load forecasting
  • LSTM

Fingerprint

Dive into the research topics of 'LAF-Net: A Deep Residual and Cross-Attention Framework for Day-Ahead Load Forecasting: Preprint'. Together they form a unique fingerprint.

Cite this