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Evaluation of a High-Resolution Regional Climate Simulation for Surface and Hub-Height Wind Climatology Over North America

  • Kyle Peco
  • , Jiali Wang
  • , Chunyong Jung
  • , Gokhan Sever
  • , Lindsay Sheridan
  • , Jeremy Feinstein
  • , Rao Kotamarthi
  • , Caroline Draxl
  • , Ethan Young
  • , Avi Purkayastha
  • , Andrew Kumler
  • Argonne National Laboratory
  • Pacific Northwest National Laboratory

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

3 Scopus Citations

Abstract

Assessing the availability of key wind resources requires augmenting observations to support the implementation of wind energy infrastructure. However, observations are limited, necessitating the development of high-resolution, long-term gridded datasets. This study presents a robust, dynamically downscaled climatological dataset, offering 20 years of hourly wind data at a 4 km spatial resolution across North America, and evaluates its performance against observations, including meteorological towers and automated surface-observing system (ASOS) stations, as well as coarse-resolution reanalysis data (the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) reanalysis version 5 (ERA5)). Results demonstrate that the downscaled high-resolution wind data outperform ERA5 in regions of complex terrain and coastal areas, with improved overlap coefficients for wind data distributions and reduced root mean square errors (RMSEs) for hub-height and near-surface diurnal wind patterns. The downscaled simulation also captures the synoptic drivers of seasonal wind direction patterns reasonably well, indicated by high wind rose similarity indices. This study also provides an analysis of interannual variability, utilizing the dataset's full 20-year period, and model uncertainty, generated by varying model initial conditions and physics parameterizations across 1-year ensemble members, which are key considerations for wind resource assessment in wind farm development.
Original languageAmerican English
Pages (from-to)13-35
Number of pages23
JournalWind Energy Science
Volume11
Issue number1
DOIs
StatePublished - 2026

NLR Publication Number

  • NLR/JA-5000-99150

Keywords

  • climate
  • simulation
  • wind

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